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Potential NFL 2024/25 MVP narratives: Could there be a three-time champion or even a brand new winner?

The NFL’s Most Valuable Player Award annually recognizes the strongest performer across the league’s regular season. It is an accolade that has been exclusively claimed by quarterbacks since 2013 and is unlikely to change when the winner is crowned in 2025. 

Ahead of the 2024/25 season, several interesting narratives could play out in the race to be crowned the next MVP winner. Two players will be looking to potentially win their third edition of the award – one of which could also become a back-to-back champion after winning the prize this year. 

Here we will look at the frontrunners for the award – who have credit in the bank when it comes to the history of MVP ceremonies – as well as a pick for a potential brand-new winner. 

2023/24 champion Lamar Jackson could go back-to-back

Lamar Jackson will be aiming to go back-to-back in the 2024/25 season after winning his second MVP trophy in the previous campaign. Betting UK suggests the Baltimore Ravens quarterback is not the leading favorite despite being the holder of the award, he is offered at odds of +1100. 

This year’s betting guides suggest that the Ravens will likely be overshadowed by the stacked rosters of the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, which could make it difficult for their most influential man to be a competition-wide standout. 

Jackson managed a career-high 3,678 passing yards in 2023/24 with a completion rate of 67.2% and that MVP-worthy return will be tough to replicate next season. He last showed a similar league-high level in 2019, which suggests he is much more capable of a drop-off in form than active footballing greats like Patrick Mahomes. 

The consistently elite Mahomes could reclaim his crown

Mahomes has like Jackson won two MVP awards which means a third could be in his wake in 2024/25. His multiple award haul is incredibly impressive considering he typically saves his peak form for the post-season matches. 

The Chiefs’ main man delivers a level of consistency year-in-year that is almost unparalleled across the sport’s all-time history. Across his seven seasons in the NFL, he has averaged a statistical passing rating of 103.5 which shows that since he first stepped onto the turf he has been an elite quarterback that simply always turns up. 

He was unfortunate to miss out on the regular season prize last season and will be determined to reclaim it as quickly as possible. He is the outright favorite at +600 meaning he is fully expected to tear up the league once again across 2024/25. 

Josh Allen is the most likely to become a maiden MVP winner

Jackson and Mahomes could polish already exceptional legacies with a further MVP win, however when it comes to potential first-time champions Josh Allen is the standout name. The Buffalo Bills star is predicted to be the greatest threat to Mahomes’ award-winning hopes offered at odds of +750. 

The American produced MVP-calibre numbers back in 2020 and was only beaten to the honor by the extraordinary playmaking levels of Aaron Rodgers. If he can produce anything similar to his 107.2 passing rating of that year in 2024/25 then the award could be his.

The NFL is arguably in one of its highest-quality eras of all time and the quality of the quarterbacks across the league represents that. Here we have looked at some of the league leaders who will possess genuine chances in what could be the most competitive MVP battle of all time next season.

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